Public-release candidate, Bundle 1.0-rc.4, Independent review pending

AI Trust Graph

An open methodology for assessing AI systems using graph-based trust, authority, evidence, controls, paths, governance, and security validation.

Illustrative connected AI system graphA synthetic example. A human instructs an agent. The agent uses a model, retrieves data and invokes a tool. The model is hosted by a provider. The tool acts as an identity. That identity reaches a business system across a trust boundary, but whether it holds authority there is marked UNKNOWN.TRUST BOUNDARYinstructsinvokesusesretrieveshosted byacts asauthority: UNKNOWNHumanAgentToolDataModelIdentityProviderBusiness system
Synthetic Illustrative only. Graph topology alone does not prove authority, invocation, reachability or exploitability.

The problem

AI systems are no longer isolated models.

The methodology treats enterprise AI risk as a property of interconnected authority, influence and dependency.

Illustrative

  • Identities
  • Agents
  • Tools
  • Data
  • Models
  • Providers
  • Business actions
A topological connection is not automatically an exploitable path. Required permissions, protocols, state and preconditions must be evidenced or explicitly marked Unknown.

Source: Artifact #1 — Manifesto §2.2 (thesis), §4 (invariant); terms from its core proposition.

The reasoning chain

From what exists to what can be defended.

The Core Conceptual Model calls this chain the intellectual spine of the methodology.

  1. Objects
  2. Relationships
  3. Conditions
  4. Paths
  5. Authority and Influence
  6. Consequence
  7. Controls
  8. Evidence
  9. Decision
Canonical reasoning questions
Theory map, Artifact #2 §0.10
QuestionConcept
What exists?Objects and system boundary.
How is it connected?Typed directional relationships.
What must be true?Preconditions and state.
What can happen next?Reachability and path analysis.
Who or what can cause it?Authority, influence and actionability.
Why does it matter?Target criticality and consequence.
What interrupts it?Control breakpoint and resilience.
What can we defend?Evidence, confidence and accountable decision.

Source: stage names and order from the reasoning chain in Artifact #2 — Core Conceptual Model §0.10; questions and concepts are the same section’s theory-map table, verbatim.

Six domains

Six coordinated lenses over one graph.

The domains are coordinated assessment lenses over one graph. They are not separate products and should not maintain incompatible definitions, evidence grades or scoring assumptions. Each has twelve canonical controls and six maturity capabilities.

  • D1ATG-DIS-001…012

    Discovery and AIBOM

    Establish measurable estate, ownership, dependencies and shadow AI.

    Maturity capabilities for D1 Discovery and AIBOM
    1. D1.1 Discovery scope and source coverage
    2. D1.2 Canonical inventory and ownership
    3. D1.3 Shadow AI and unmanaged use
    4. D1.4 AIBOM and dependency lineage
    5. D1.5 Unknown, orphan and lifecycle management
    6. D1.6 Discovery evidence and assurance
  • D2ATG-TRU-001…012

    Trust and Privilege Paths

    Model cloud and AI trust, identity inheritance and attacker-relevant paths.

    Maturity capabilities for D2 Trust and Privilege Paths
    1. D2.1 Trust relationship representation
    2. D2.2 Identity and privilege path analysis
    3. D2.3 Boundary and provider trust
    4. D2.4 Path identification and prioritization
    5. D2.5 Control breakpoint analysis
    6. D2.6 Trust graph quality and governance
  • D3ATG-AUT-001…012

    Authority Governance

    Define and review effective access, inference, approval and action.

    Maturity capabilities for D3 Authority Governance
    1. D3.1 Authority inventory and taxonomy
    2. D3.2 Delegation and identity context
    3. D3.3 Human approval and oversight
    4. D3.4 Authority amplification control
    5. D3.5 Revocation and containment
    6. D3.6 Authority decision governance
  • D4ATG-VAL-001…012

    AI Security Validation

    Test architecture and controls against realistic scenarios.

    Maturity capabilities for D4 AI Security Validation
    1. D4.1 Validation strategy and scope
    2. D4.2 Threat modeling and path hypotheses
    3. D4.3 Rules of engagement and safety
    4. D4.4 Control effectiveness testing
    5. D4.5 Finding quality and closure
    6. D4.6 Validation assurance and independence
  • D5ATG-GOV-001…012

    AI Governance and Assurance

    Connect ownership, risk tier, policy, obligations and evidence.

    Maturity capabilities for D5 AI Governance and Assurance
    1. D5.1 Strategy, policy and risk appetite
    2. D5.2 Use-case intake and tiering
    3. D5.3 Decision rights and accountability
    4. D5.4 Applicability and obligations
    5. D5.5 Exceptions and risk acceptance
    6. D5.6 Assurance, reporting and literacy
  • D6ATG-RES-001…012

    Operational Resilience

    Prepare for failure, compromise, containment and recovery.

    Maturity capabilities for D6 Operational Resilience
    1. D6.1 Observability and attribution
    2. D6.2 Detection and triage
    3. D6.3 Containment and kill mechanisms
    4. D6.4 Recovery, rollback and compensation
    5. D6.5 Incident reconstruction and evidence
    6. D6.6 Exercises, learning and resilience governance

Source: purposes from Artifact #2 §8.1; capabilities from Artifact #3 — Maturity Model; control IDs from Artifact #5 — Master Control Library.

Authority

Access is not authority.

Each of these is a separate claim. Each needs its own evidence, and none is silently inferred from another.

  • Can connect
  • Can authenticate
  • Can access
  • Can invoke
  • Can modify
  • Can transact

Illustration of distinct assertions only — not a canonical sequence, ladder or state machine.

The capability definition, its network reachability, granted authority and actual invocation are different concepts and require different relationships.

Canonical authority classes

  • Observe
  • Read
  • Retrieve
  • Infer
  • Recommend
  • Approve
  • Execute
  • Modify
  • Delete
  • Disclose
  • Transact

Authority classes describe the kind of consequence an entity can cause. They are not maturity levels and should not be ranked without considering target, scope, conditions and criticality.

Source: Artifact #2 §5.2

Evidence-bounded conclusions

UNKNOWN stays UNKNOWN.

Insufficient evidence does not silently become a favourable — or an adverse — conclusion. UNKNOWN remains visible until sufficient evidence and accountable review resolve the material assertion.

  • UNKNOWNis notSafe
  • UNKNOWNis notFailed
  • UNKNOWNis notZero risk
  • UNKNOWNis notN/A

UNKNOWN is not Not Tested.

They are distinct non-numeric result states with different meanings.

UNKNOWN

The material state remains unresolved because evidence is absent, insufficient or materially conflicting.

Numeric treatment No numeric value.

Reporting treatment Included in uncertainty and evidence-gap counts.

Not Tested

Testing required for a stronger conclusion was not performed.

Numeric treatment No numeric value for effectiveness.

Reporting treatment May retain a design score if separately supported.

Neither may be silently converted into a fabricated effectiveness result. Evidence grade E0 (no evidence) can support either, according to context: The only defensible conclusion is UNKNOWN or Not Tested.

Source: meanings from Artifact #6 — Evidence Model §0.5, §1.1; numeric and reporting treatment from Artifact #4 — Scoring Framework §0.5.

UNKNOWN is not zero, weak, safe or effective.

Distinct non-numeric result states

  • Not Assessed
  • UNKNOWN
  • Inconclusive
  • Not Tested
  • Not Applicable

Each state has its own numeric and reporting treatment. They must never be silently collapsed into one another, into a score, or into a pass/fail. AI Trust Graph deliberately produces no single overall trust score.

Source: Artifact #4 §0.5

Control breakpoints

Where can a material path be interrupted?

A control breakpoint is a node, relationship or boundary where an effective control can materially stop, constrain, detect or contain a path. Alternate and residual paths must still be checked.

Illustrate an effective control that can…
  1. Human
  2. Agent
  3. Identity
  4. Tool (control breakpoint between Tool and API)
  5. API
  6. Sensitive action

Stop. Progression past the breakpoint is blocked.

Constrain. Progression continues only within narrower scope or conditions.

Detect. Progression is observed and raises a signal for response.

Contain. Downstream effect is isolated or limited.

Synthetic Plain-language illustration of where an effective control can stop, constrain, detect or contain progression. It is not a real system, and it does not show that any step is authorized, invoked, reachable or exploitable.

Path validation state

  • Candidate
  • Topological
  • Plausible
  • Validated
  • Exploitable
  • Controlled
  • Invalidated

Path role

  • Primary
  • Alternate
  • Residual

Validation state and role are orthogonal dimensions and are not collapsed into one state machine.

Source: Artifact #2 §1.8, §6.3, §6.6

Evidence model

Six grades of evidentiary support.

Grade measures evidentiary support, not desirability, safety or compliance.

  1. E0 — No evidence
    Meaning
    No source is available or the supplied item cannot be linked to the assertion.
    What it can support
    The only defensible conclusion is UNKNOWN or Not Tested. E0 is not evidence that the control is absent.
  2. E1 — Inference or uncorroborated signal
    Meaning
    A hypothesis is derived from incomplete, indirect, automated or unverified information.
    What it can support
    E1 can prioritize investigation and create candidate graph assertions, but cannot establish implementation or operating effectiveness.
  3. E2 — Attestation
    Meaning
    An accountable person states that a condition or practice exists.
    What it can support
    E2 supports claimed practice and context. It is vulnerable to memory, interpretation, incentives and incomplete visibility and therefore needs corroboration for material technical claims.
  4. E3 — Approved documentary evidence
    Meaning
    A governed document records approved design, policy, architecture, procedure, contract or decision.
    What it can support
    E3 can support design intent and governance state. It does not alone prove actual configuration, runtime behavior or sustained operation.
  5. E4 — Corroborated technical evidence
    Meaning
    Technical evidence from authoritative sources is supported by an independent source, consistent observation or reproducible inspection.
    What it can support
    E4 can support implementation or operation within observed scope when current, relevant and representative.
  6. E5 — Direct technical and representative evidence
    Meaning
    Current direct technical evidence is combined with a representative test or operating record that demonstrates the claimed behavior under stated conditions.
    What it can support
    E5 may support verified effectiveness or adaptive operation, but only for the tested scope, period and conditions.
  • Grade is not sufficiency. Meeting the grade minimum is necessary but not sufficient; relevance, scope, currentness, representativeness, conflict status and an approved reviewer decision still govern.
  • A high grade can confirm an adverse state. A low grade can weakly suggest a favorable state.
  • Grade is its own quantity. Never add evidence grade to control effectiveness, severity, maturity or risk as if they were the same quantity.

Source: grade names, meanings and supported claims quoted from Artifact #6 — Evidence Model §1.1–§1.8; the full sufficiency rules are deliberately not summarized here.

Assessment lifecycle

Thirteen controlled phases.

Separate from the reasoning chain: Artifact #7 governs the controlled fieldwork lifecycle and gates without redefining upstream semantics.

The lifecycle contains thirteen controlled phases. Phases may iterate, but required gates cannot be skipped merely because information was available earlier.

  1. Phase 1 Initiate
  2. Phase 2 Scope
  3. Phase 3 Discover
  4. Phase 4 Model
  5. Phase 5 Evidence
  6. Phase 6 Controls
  7. Phase 7 Paths
  8. Phase 8 Maturity
  9. Phase 9 Scoring
  10. Phase 10 Findings
  11. Phase 11 Decisions
  12. Phase 12 Report
  13. Phase 13 Reassess
Phase outcomes and gates
Primary outcome of each phase (§0.11)
PhasePrimary outcome
1 InitiateApproved charter and decision purpose.
2 ScopeVersioned boundary and population.
3 DiscoverMeasured estate and blind spots.
4 ModelReviewed graph snapshot.
5 EvidenceGraded and traceable evidence set.
6 ControlsApplicability and control results.
7 PathsValidated material path portfolio.
8 MaturitySix-domain capability profile.
9 ScoringTransparent scorecards and coverage.
10 FindingsEvidence-linked gaps and remediation objectives.
11 DecisionsApproved gates, exceptions and dispositions.
12 ReportQuality-reviewed decision package.
13 ReassessTrigger-based new or updated run.

Each phase has entry conditions, mandatory activities, outputs, decision gates and quality checks. An incomplete phase may proceed only under an approved limitation that does not invalidate downstream work.

Gate tests (§0.12)
Gate testRule
CompletenessMandatory outputs exist or limitations are explicitly approved.
EvidenceAssertions meet artifact-specific sufficiency.
SafetyCollection and testing remained within authorization.
TraceabilityInputs and decisions can be reconstructed.
Critical gatesOpen conditions are applied before progression.
QualityRequired reviewer has challenged the work.
DecisionNamed authority accepts the next phase or bounded limitation.

Assessment types

Listed in Artifact #7 order; the order implies no priority.

  • Baseline assessment
  • Periodic reassessment
  • Material-change assessment
  • High-impact deep dive
  • Incident-driven assessment
  • Third-party and provider assessment
  • Portfolio assessment
  • Pre-deployment readiness assessment
  • Continuous or event-driven assessment
  • Regulatory or obligation-focused assessment
Assessment type definitions
Baseline assessment
Establish the first defensible view of scope, graph, controls, evidence, maturity and material paths.
Periodic reassessment
Re-evaluate a stable scope at an approved cadence while preserving comparable prior results.
Material-change assessment
Assess the consequences of model, prompt, data, tool, identity, provider, autonomy, geography, purpose or architecture change.
High-impact deep dive
Increase evidence, testing, independence and path analysis for systems with significant consequence or authority.
Incident-driven assessment
Reconstruct changed facts, affected paths, control failures and recovery evidence after an event.
Third-party and provider assessment
Examine service-specific responsibility, configuration, evidence access, data handling, resilience and concentration.
Portfolio assessment
Profile multiple use cases or systems while preserving materially different populations and avoiding misleading averages.
Pre-deployment readiness assessment
Determine whether evidence, controls, testing, approvals and containment are sufficient for the requested release.
Continuous or event-driven assessment
Use approved automated signals and triggers to refresh evidence and initiate human review of material change.
Regulatory or obligation-focused assessment
Evaluate fact-specific obligations and related controls without representing framework mapping as compliance proof.

Source: phases, outcomes and iteration rule from Artifact #7 — Assessment Methodology §0.11; gate tests from §0.12; assessment types from §1.1–§1.10; the role of Artifact #7 from METHODOLOGY_MANIFEST §1.

The structure that carries the model

Domains
6
Canonical controls
72
Maturity capabilities
36
Maturity levels
M1–M5
Evidence grades
E0–E5

Maturity is cumulative, evidence-gated and not an average of control scores.

Public review

This methodology is meant to be challenged.

  • Challenge the assumptions.
  • Examine the graph semantics.
  • Inspect the evidence rules.
  • Report inconsistencies.
  • Contribute through GitHub.